Perhaps even more surprisingly, second serves to the forehand corner in the deuce court lead to eight per cent more unreturned serves and lead servers to win 17 per cent more deuce-side return points in shorter rallies of five or fewer shots.Īnimation 2: Win % heatmap for placement of second serves to Deuce courtĪll of this goes to highlight the growing importance of accessing and understanding detailed data analysis on Tour to enable players to leverage every marginal gain available to them. What’s more, well-placed deuce-side second serves to the forehand corner generate 8.5 per cent more points won than well-placed serves to the backhand corner of the same service box. Table 1: High frequency and second-serve win per centage to forehand and backhand corners of 150 right-handed ATP players with at least 1,000 second serves to right-handed opponents over a 10-year period. This information is derived from detailed analysis for nearly 150 right-handed ATP players with at least 1,000 second serves to right-handed opponents over a 10-year period. In other words, primarily directing the second serve to the backhand of an ATP opponent typically reduces the chances of winning the point. However, the growth of increasingly sophisticated data and analysis of each and every action in the sport of tennis undermines the logic behind this long-held belief.ĪTP players win 51 per cent of points when serving to the forehand corner versus just 49 per cent when serving to the backhand corner. Animation 1: Serve Zone Trajectories on second serves to Deuce court: Win % and In %
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